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Natural Hazard Risk in Virginia

The risk score (0–100) combines expected annual loss from 18 natural hazards with social vulnerability and community resilience. Higher = greater relative risk. Scores compare counties across the United States.

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CountyRisk scoreRatingExpected annual lossPopulation
Fairfax94.7Relatively High$219.1M1,148,223
Chesterfield84.8Relatively Moderate$78.8M364,108
Henrico83.4Relatively Moderate$57.8M334,329
Prince William83.2Relatively Moderate$69M481,359
Norfolk81.2Relatively Moderate$45.7M237,884
Accomack81Relatively Moderate$31.2M33,367
Chesapeake80.9Relatively Low$56.2M249,270
Richmond78.4Relatively Low$39.2M226,269
Albemarle78.1Relatively Low$40.3M112,239
Loudoun78.1Relatively Low$60.7M418,601
Rockingham75Relatively Low$34.9M83,694
Alexandria73.7Relatively Low$40.1M159,467
Roanoke72.9Relatively Low$24.5M99,966
Newport News72.2Relatively Low$31.7M186,209
Augusta68.6Relatively Low$25.3M77,457
Danville68Relatively Low$18.4M42,567
Arlington66.8Relatively Low$37.8M238,619
Stafford65Relatively Low$35.2M156,513
Pittsylvania63.8Relatively Low$16.5M60,500
Henry63.6Relatively Low$15.3M50,948
Hampton61.7Relatively Low$23.4M137,063
Tazewell60.2Relatively Low$15.2M40,399
Suffolk60.1Relatively Low$25.4M94,179
Shenandoah59.8Relatively Low$18.7M44,182
Virginia Beach57.9Relatively Low$30.6M458,853
Smyth57.8Relatively Low$14.8M29,780
Lee57.3Relatively Low$11.4M22,166
Mecklenburg54.3Relatively Low$13M30,027
Portsmouth54Relatively Low$18.2M97,881
Hanover53.5Relatively Low$28.5M109,963
James City53.3Relatively Low$22.2M78,221
Spotsylvania52.9Relatively Low$25.3M139,768
Roanoke52.2Relatively Low$19.9M96,902
Bedford51.2Relatively Low$17.6M79,441
Buchanan50.6Relatively Low$10.7M20,340
Wise50.4Relatively Low$13.2M36,104
Lynchburg49.3Relatively Low$14.8M78,993
Wythe48.7Relatively Low$11.9M28,279
Fauquier47.7Relatively Low$22.2M72,947
Montgomery47.5Relatively Low$16.6M99,701
Halifax47Relatively Low$8.9M34,002
Washington46.6Relatively Low$12.4M53,894
Culpeper46.2Relatively Low$14.9M52,534
Pulaski45.9Relatively Low$11.3M33,795
Carroll45.1Relatively Low$9.9M29,155
Frederick44.7Relatively Low$20M91,336
York44.7Relatively Low$24.1M70,026
Northampton44.5Relatively Low$9.4M12,215
Franklin42.7Very Low$11M54,455
Scott42Very Low$8.4M21,551
Northumberland40Very Low$8.5M11,831
Alleghany38.1Very Low$10.8M15,205
Isle of Wight37.9Very Low$15M38,586
Page37.9Very Low$9.6M23,698
Westmoreland37.4Very Low$9.1M18,477
Russell36.5Very Low$8.8M25,778
Nelson34.1Very Low$8.9M14,738
Rockbridge33.3Very Low$9.1M22,631
Prince Edward32.4Very Low$7.1M21,274
Lancaster32.3Very Low$7.5M10,919
Louisa32.2Very Low$10.1M37,590
Campbell32Very Low$9.1M55,696
Warren31.6Very Low$13M40,715
Southampton29.8Very Low$9.1M17,985
Nottoway29Very Low$6.2M15,638
Brunswick28.1Very Low$7.1M15,846
Harrisonburg26.6Very Low$9M51,814
Orange25.6Very Low$11.1M36,205
Grayson24.7Very Low$5.9M15,333
Charlottesville24.3Very Low$10.2M46,443
Middlesex23.8Very Low$5.9M10,607
Gloucester22.6Very Low$9M38,711
Powhatan21.1Very Low$9.6M30,304
Amherst21Very Low$6.5M31,300
Patrick20.9Very Low$6.4M17,604
Caroline20.7Very Low$8.3M30,855
Lunenburg19.8Very Low$4.1M11,930
Cumberland19.7Very Low$5.1M9,675
Dinwiddie19.3Very Low$7.2M27,925
Buckingham19Very Low$4.8M16,804
Salem18.6Very Low$9M25,346
Essex18.6Very Low$5.4M10,595
Botetourt18.1Very Low$9M33,548
Dickenson17.9Very Low$5M14,122
Greensville17.8Very Low$4.2M11,379
Charlotte17.4Very Low$4.1M11,522
Hopewell17.2Very Low$4.4M22,982
Petersburg17Very Low$5.4M33,446
Winchester16.9Very Low$6.1M28,110
Manassas16.6Very Low$7.5M42,763
Giles16.6Very Low$5.4M16,775
King and Queen16.2Very Low$4.4M6,602
Goochland15.5Very Low$8M24,727
New Kent14.1Very Low$7.3M22,940
Prince George13.9Very Low$8.1M42,930
Fluvanna13.5Very Low$6.2M27,249
Sussex13.2Very Low$4.1M10,829
Bland13Very Low$5M6,270
King George12.8Very Low$8.2M26,676
Mathews12.2Very Low$4M8,533
Amelia12Very Low$5.1M13,265
Staunton10.6Very Low$5.3M25,738
Richmond10.4Very Low$3.9M8,918
Waynesboro10.3Very Low$6.2M22,195
Covington9.7Very Low$4.7M5,737
Martinsville9.6Very Low$3.4M13,485
Charles City9.3Very Low$3.4M6,773
Greene9.3Very Low$4.7M20,552
Fredericksburg8.7Very Low$6.8M27,967
Bristol8.6Very Low$2.9M17,217
Madison8.4Very Low$4.6M13,837
King William8.3Very Low$6.3M17,810
Franklin7.5Very Low$3M8,180
Clarke6.9Very Low$5.6M14,780
Rappahannock6.9Very Low$3.4M7,327
Galax6.8Very Low$2.8M6,720
Floyd6.6Very Low$3.8M15,470
Craig6.2Very Low$2.8M4,883
Colonial Heights6Very Low$4.3M18,163
Bath5.4Very Low$2.9M4,209
Fairfax5.3Very Low$4.8M24,146
Appomattox5.1Very Low$3.2M16,119
Emporia5Very Low$2.6M5,749
Manassas Park4.9Very Low$3.3M17,219
Surry4.7Very Low$2.8M6,561
Lexington3.7Very Low$2.2M7,320
Buena Vista3.3Very Low$2.4M6,641
Radford2.6Very Low$2.6M16,070
Highland2.5Very Low$2.2M2,232
Williamsburg2.4Very Low$3.6M15,425
Poquoson2.4Very Low$4.4M12,460
Falls Church1.6Very Low$3.1M14,658
Norton1.6Very Low$1.1M3,687

🏛️ Federal disaster declarations (last 2 years)

EMSEVERE WINTER STORMJan 23, 2026

Winter Storm · Designated areas: Winchester, Grayson (County), Greene (County), Greensville (County), Halifax (County), Hanover (County), Henrico (County), Henry (County), Highland (County), Isle of Wight (County), James City (County), King and Queen (County)…

DRSEVERE WINTER STORMS AND FLOODINGApr 4, 2025

Severe Storm · Designated areas: Craig (County), Dickenson (County), Floyd (County), Franklin (County), Grayson (County), Lee (County), Pulaski (County), Russell (County), Scott (County), Smyth (County), Tazewell (County), Washington (County)…

DRTROPICAL STORM HELENEOct 1, 2024

Tropical Storm · Designated areas: Pittsylvania (County), Albemarle (County), Appomattox (County), Botetourt (County), Buchanan (County), Buckingham (County), Charlotte (County), Craig (County), Dickenson (County), Floyd (County), Greene (County), Madison (County)…

EMPOST-TROPICAL CYCLONE HELENESep 29, 2024

Tropical Storm · Designated areas: Buchanan (County), Carroll (County), Craig (County), Dickenson (County), Giles (County), Grayson (County), Montgomery (County), Pittsylvania (County), Pulaski (County), Russell (County), Scott (County), Smyth (County)…

Major disaster (DR) and emergency (EM) declarations unlock federal assistance for the designated areas. Source: FEMA / OpenFEMA.

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Data: FEMA National Risk Index (updated ~annually). AlertAtlas is not an official warning service — always follow local authorities.