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Natural Hazard Risk in North Carolina

The risk score (0–100) combines expected annual loss from 18 natural hazards with social vulnerability and community resilience. Higher = greater relative risk. Scores compare counties across the United States.

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CountyRisk scoreRatingExpected annual lossPopulation
Mecklenburg97.1Relatively High$318M1,114,693
New Hanover96.1Relatively High$257.1M225,344
Brunswick95.8Relatively High$153.3M136,245
Wake95.5Relatively High$299.1M1,128,357
Onslow95Relatively High$215.7M202,949
Craven93.6Relatively Moderate$118.3M100,042
Carteret93.5Relatively Moderate$129.1M67,625
Guilford93.4Relatively Moderate$134.6M540,974
Forsyth91.5Relatively Moderate$104.1M382,522
Robeson91.1Relatively Moderate$56.9M116,414
Wayne90.4Relatively Moderate$66.3M116,680
Sampson90.2Relatively Moderate$54.8M59,021
Pitt89.8Relatively Moderate$81.1M169,746
Durham89.6Relatively Moderate$90.9M324,580
Dare89.6Relatively Moderate$80.8M36,860
Cumberland89.5Relatively Moderate$90.2M334,379
Duplin89.4Relatively Moderate$53.1M48,624
Buncombe89.3Relatively Moderate$82.4M269,305
Union89.1Relatively Moderate$110.3M237,844
Beaufort88.2Relatively Moderate$54.3M44,607
Davidson87.2Relatively Moderate$64.3M168,808
Cabarrus87.1Relatively Moderate$85.7M225,772
Pender86.9Relatively Moderate$66.9M60,195
Columbus86.9Relatively Moderate$42.1M50,557
Johnston85.6Relatively Moderate$61.5M215,586
Gaston84.9Relatively Moderate$59.3M227,866
Lenoir84.6Relatively Moderate$35.7M55,112
Bladen84.6Relatively Moderate$38.6M29,597
Henderson83.8Relatively Moderate$40.7M116,029
Rowan82.9Relatively Moderate$48M146,778
Wilkes82.6Relatively Moderate$33.1M65,928
Iredell80.8Relatively Low$53.3M186,589
Randolph80.6Relatively Low$39.4M144,115
Nash80.6Relatively Low$36.6M94,907
Catawba80.6Relatively Low$45.4M160,509
Jackson80.5Relatively Low$28.7M43,081
Orange79.1Relatively Low$49.7M148,579
Haywood77.2Relatively Low$31.7M62,051
Alamance77.1Relatively Low$41.4M171,316
Edgecombe76.4Relatively Low$24.3M48,898
Wilson76.3Relatively Low$30.1M78,695
Moore75.6Relatively Low$34.6M99,632
Harnett75.3Relatively Low$37.3M133,456
Macon73.8Relatively Low$24.4M36,973
Lincoln73.8Relatively Low$32.2M86,724
Surry73.6Relatively Low$26.9M71,351
Halifax72.9Relatively Low$19.6M48,603
Rutherford72.7Relatively Low$24M64,379
Pamlico72.4Relatively Low$22.6M12,213
Rockingham71.9Relatively Low$25.1M91,080
Watauga71.9Relatively Low$26M54,000
Burke70.2Relatively Low$22.8M87,532
Cleveland70Relatively Low$27.3M99,458
Hertford68.2Relatively Low$17.2M21,546
Lee67.5Relatively Low$20.2M63,261
Caldwell67.4Relatively Low$25M80,586
Chatham67.2Relatively Low$24.8M76,189
Ashe66.8Relatively Low$17.8M26,560
Hyde66.4Relatively Low$15.5M4,573
Bertie66.4Relatively Low$17.2M17,933
Martin65.5Relatively Low$20.9M21,994
Jones64.5Relatively Low$14.3M9,165
Transylvania64.2Relatively Low$17.9M32,927
Scotland63.6Relatively Low$14M34,158
Greene62.6Relatively Low$14.4M20,451
Richmond60.8Relatively Low$15.8M42,920
Washington59.6Relatively Low$13.6M11,003
Granville59.4Relatively Low$20M60,973
McDowell59.2Relatively Low$16.8M44,525
Stanly58.8Relatively Low$21.9M62,476
Pasquotank58.7Relatively Low$17.8M40,457
Cherokee56.7Relatively Low$15M28,732
Franklin51.7Relatively Low$16.8M68,431
Warren50.8Relatively Low$10.2M18,618
Hoke50.1Relatively Low$13.1M52,053
Anson50Relatively Low$10.2M22,036
Swain49.1Relatively Low$9.8M14,108
Montgomery49Relatively Low$11.7M25,722
Vance48.4Relatively Low$10.8M42,564
Avery47.5Relatively Low$11.3M17,798
Tyrrell46Relatively Low$9.2M3,245
Alexander45.8Relatively Low$10.6M36,437
Northampton44.2Relatively Low$8.3M17,436
Yancey42.2Very Low$8.8M18,463
Davie41.7Very Low$13.1M42,692
Person41.5Very Low$9.8M39,080
Stokes39.7Very Low$10.9M44,503
Yadkin38.4Very Low$9.6M37,209
Perquimans37.7Very Low$9.4M13,000
Polk36.9Very Low$8M19,286
Alleghany34.7Very Low$6.6M10,876
Chowan34.3Very Low$9.2M13,708
Madison27.4Very Low$9.1M21,147
Clay26.9Very Low$5.1M11,079
Mitchell24Very Low$6.9M14,896
Caswell22.4Very Low$6.3M22,714
Graham20.1Very Low$5.5M8,013
Currituck18.1Very Low$10.7M28,088
Gates10.5Very Low$4.7M10,454
Camden2.5Very Low$3.5M10,350

🏛️ Federal disaster declarations (last 2 years)

EMSEVERE WINTER STORMJan 24, 2026

Winter Storm · Designated areas: Lumbee (TDSA), Yancey (County), Bladen (County), Bertie (County), Beaufort (County), Avery (County), Ashe (County), Anson (County), Alleghany (County), Alexander (County), Alamance (County), Eastern Band of Cherokee Indians…

DRTROPICAL DEPRESSION CHANTALSep 11, 2025

Tropical Depression · Designated areas: Chatham (County), Person (County), Alamance (County), Caswell (County), Durham (County), Moore (County), Orange (County)

FMSUNSET DRIVE FIRE May 3, 2025

Fire · Designated areas: Brunswick (County)

FMSAM DAVIS ROAD FIREApr 20, 2025

Fire · Designated areas: Swain (County)

FMTABLE ROCK FIREMar 27, 2025

Fire · Designated areas: Transylvania (County)

FMALARKA FIRE Mar 26, 2025

Fire · Designated areas: Swain (County)

FMBLACK COVE FIRE COMPLEXMar 22, 2025

Fire · Designated areas: Polk (County)

DRPOTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE EIGHTOct 19, 2024

Tropical Storm · Designated areas: Onslow (County), Stokes (County), New Hanover (County), Carteret (County), Dare (County), Brunswick (County)

DRTROPICAL STORM HELENESep 28, 2024

Tropical Storm · Designated areas: Lincoln (County), Lee (County), Jackson (County), Nash (County), Iredell (County), Henderson (County), Haywood (County), Graham (County), Polk (County), Rowan (County), Rutherford (County), Stanly (County)…

EMHURRICANE HELENESep 26, 2024

Tropical Storm · Designated areas: Hertford (County), Hoke (County), Hyde (County), Iredell (County), Jackson (County), Johnston (County), Jones (County), Lee (County), Lenoir (County), Lincoln (County), McDowell (County), Macon (County)…

EMTROPICAL STORM DEBBYAug 6, 2024

Tropical Storm · Designated areas: Wilson (County), Wilkes (County), Wayne (County), Washington (County), Warren (County), Wake (County), Vance (County), Union (County), Tyrrell (County), Surry (County), Stokes (County), Stanly (County)…

Major disaster (DR) and emergency (EM) declarations unlock federal assistance for the designated areas. Source: FEMA / OpenFEMA.

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Data: FEMA National Risk Index (updated ~annually). AlertAtlas is not an official warning service — always follow local authorities.