Natural Hazard Risk in North Carolina
The risk score (0–100) combines expected annual loss from 18 natural hazards with social vulnerability and community resilience. Higher = greater relative risk. Scores compare counties across the United States.
See what's happening right now on the live map →| County | Risk score | Rating | Expected annual loss | Population |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mecklenburg | 97.1 | Relatively High | $318M | 1,114,693 |
| New Hanover | 96.1 | Relatively High | $257.1M | 225,344 |
| Brunswick | 95.8 | Relatively High | $153.3M | 136,245 |
| Wake | 95.5 | Relatively High | $299.1M | 1,128,357 |
| Onslow | 95 | Relatively High | $215.7M | 202,949 |
| Craven | 93.6 | Relatively Moderate | $118.3M | 100,042 |
| Carteret | 93.5 | Relatively Moderate | $129.1M | 67,625 |
| Guilford | 93.4 | Relatively Moderate | $134.6M | 540,974 |
| Forsyth | 91.5 | Relatively Moderate | $104.1M | 382,522 |
| Robeson | 91.1 | Relatively Moderate | $56.9M | 116,414 |
| Wayne | 90.4 | Relatively Moderate | $66.3M | 116,680 |
| Sampson | 90.2 | Relatively Moderate | $54.8M | 59,021 |
| Pitt | 89.8 | Relatively Moderate | $81.1M | 169,746 |
| Durham | 89.6 | Relatively Moderate | $90.9M | 324,580 |
| Dare | 89.6 | Relatively Moderate | $80.8M | 36,860 |
| Cumberland | 89.5 | Relatively Moderate | $90.2M | 334,379 |
| Duplin | 89.4 | Relatively Moderate | $53.1M | 48,624 |
| Buncombe | 89.3 | Relatively Moderate | $82.4M | 269,305 |
| Union | 89.1 | Relatively Moderate | $110.3M | 237,844 |
| Beaufort | 88.2 | Relatively Moderate | $54.3M | 44,607 |
| Davidson | 87.2 | Relatively Moderate | $64.3M | 168,808 |
| Cabarrus | 87.1 | Relatively Moderate | $85.7M | 225,772 |
| Pender | 86.9 | Relatively Moderate | $66.9M | 60,195 |
| Columbus | 86.9 | Relatively Moderate | $42.1M | 50,557 |
| Johnston | 85.6 | Relatively Moderate | $61.5M | 215,586 |
| Gaston | 84.9 | Relatively Moderate | $59.3M | 227,866 |
| Lenoir | 84.6 | Relatively Moderate | $35.7M | 55,112 |
| Bladen | 84.6 | Relatively Moderate | $38.6M | 29,597 |
| Henderson | 83.8 | Relatively Moderate | $40.7M | 116,029 |
| Rowan | 82.9 | Relatively Moderate | $48M | 146,778 |
| Wilkes | 82.6 | Relatively Moderate | $33.1M | 65,928 |
| Iredell | 80.8 | Relatively Low | $53.3M | 186,589 |
| Randolph | 80.6 | Relatively Low | $39.4M | 144,115 |
| Nash | 80.6 | Relatively Low | $36.6M | 94,907 |
| Catawba | 80.6 | Relatively Low | $45.4M | 160,509 |
| Jackson | 80.5 | Relatively Low | $28.7M | 43,081 |
| Orange | 79.1 | Relatively Low | $49.7M | 148,579 |
| Haywood | 77.2 | Relatively Low | $31.7M | 62,051 |
| Alamance | 77.1 | Relatively Low | $41.4M | 171,316 |
| Edgecombe | 76.4 | Relatively Low | $24.3M | 48,898 |
| Wilson | 76.3 | Relatively Low | $30.1M | 78,695 |
| Moore | 75.6 | Relatively Low | $34.6M | 99,632 |
| Harnett | 75.3 | Relatively Low | $37.3M | 133,456 |
| Macon | 73.8 | Relatively Low | $24.4M | 36,973 |
| Lincoln | 73.8 | Relatively Low | $32.2M | 86,724 |
| Surry | 73.6 | Relatively Low | $26.9M | 71,351 |
| Halifax | 72.9 | Relatively Low | $19.6M | 48,603 |
| Rutherford | 72.7 | Relatively Low | $24M | 64,379 |
| Pamlico | 72.4 | Relatively Low | $22.6M | 12,213 |
| Rockingham | 71.9 | Relatively Low | $25.1M | 91,080 |
| Watauga | 71.9 | Relatively Low | $26M | 54,000 |
| Burke | 70.2 | Relatively Low | $22.8M | 87,532 |
| Cleveland | 70 | Relatively Low | $27.3M | 99,458 |
| Hertford | 68.2 | Relatively Low | $17.2M | 21,546 |
| Lee | 67.5 | Relatively Low | $20.2M | 63,261 |
| Caldwell | 67.4 | Relatively Low | $25M | 80,586 |
| Chatham | 67.2 | Relatively Low | $24.8M | 76,189 |
| Ashe | 66.8 | Relatively Low | $17.8M | 26,560 |
| Hyde | 66.4 | Relatively Low | $15.5M | 4,573 |
| Bertie | 66.4 | Relatively Low | $17.2M | 17,933 |
| Martin | 65.5 | Relatively Low | $20.9M | 21,994 |
| Jones | 64.5 | Relatively Low | $14.3M | 9,165 |
| Transylvania | 64.2 | Relatively Low | $17.9M | 32,927 |
| Scotland | 63.6 | Relatively Low | $14M | 34,158 |
| Greene | 62.6 | Relatively Low | $14.4M | 20,451 |
| Richmond | 60.8 | Relatively Low | $15.8M | 42,920 |
| Washington | 59.6 | Relatively Low | $13.6M | 11,003 |
| Granville | 59.4 | Relatively Low | $20M | 60,973 |
| McDowell | 59.2 | Relatively Low | $16.8M | 44,525 |
| Stanly | 58.8 | Relatively Low | $21.9M | 62,476 |
| Pasquotank | 58.7 | Relatively Low | $17.8M | 40,457 |
| Cherokee | 56.7 | Relatively Low | $15M | 28,732 |
| Franklin | 51.7 | Relatively Low | $16.8M | 68,431 |
| Warren | 50.8 | Relatively Low | $10.2M | 18,618 |
| Hoke | 50.1 | Relatively Low | $13.1M | 52,053 |
| Anson | 50 | Relatively Low | $10.2M | 22,036 |
| Swain | 49.1 | Relatively Low | $9.8M | 14,108 |
| Montgomery | 49 | Relatively Low | $11.7M | 25,722 |
| Vance | 48.4 | Relatively Low | $10.8M | 42,564 |
| Avery | 47.5 | Relatively Low | $11.3M | 17,798 |
| Tyrrell | 46 | Relatively Low | $9.2M | 3,245 |
| Alexander | 45.8 | Relatively Low | $10.6M | 36,437 |
| Northampton | 44.2 | Relatively Low | $8.3M | 17,436 |
| Yancey | 42.2 | Very Low | $8.8M | 18,463 |
| Davie | 41.7 | Very Low | $13.1M | 42,692 |
| Person | 41.5 | Very Low | $9.8M | 39,080 |
| Stokes | 39.7 | Very Low | $10.9M | 44,503 |
| Yadkin | 38.4 | Very Low | $9.6M | 37,209 |
| Perquimans | 37.7 | Very Low | $9.4M | 13,000 |
| Polk | 36.9 | Very Low | $8M | 19,286 |
| Alleghany | 34.7 | Very Low | $6.6M | 10,876 |
| Chowan | 34.3 | Very Low | $9.2M | 13,708 |
| Madison | 27.4 | Very Low | $9.1M | 21,147 |
| Clay | 26.9 | Very Low | $5.1M | 11,079 |
| Mitchell | 24 | Very Low | $6.9M | 14,896 |
| Caswell | 22.4 | Very Low | $6.3M | 22,714 |
| Graham | 20.1 | Very Low | $5.5M | 8,013 |
| Currituck | 18.1 | Very Low | $10.7M | 28,088 |
| Gates | 10.5 | Very Low | $4.7M | 10,454 |
| Camden | 2.5 | Very Low | $3.5M | 10,350 |
🏛️ Federal disaster declarations (last 2 years)
EMSEVERE WINTER STORMJan 24, 2026
Winter Storm · Designated areas: Carteret (County), Columbus (County), Avery (County), McDowell (County), Orange (County), Stanly (County), Catawba (County), Alleghany (County), Madison (County), Lumbee (TDSA), Sampson (County), Yancey (County)…
DRTROPICAL DEPRESSION CHANTALSep 11, 2025
Tropical Depression · Designated areas: Durham (County), Person (County), Orange (County), Caswell (County), Chatham (County), Alamance (County), Moore (County)
FMSUNSET DRIVE FIREMay 3, 2025
Fire · Designated areas: Brunswick (County)
FMSAM DAVIS ROAD FIREApr 20, 2025
Fire · Designated areas: Swain (County)
FMTABLE ROCK FIREMar 27, 2025
Fire · Designated areas: Transylvania (County)
FMALARKA FIREMar 26, 2025
Fire · Designated areas: Swain (County)
FMBLACK COVE FIRE COMPLEXMar 22, 2025
Fire · Designated areas: Polk (County)
Major disaster (DR) and emergency (EM) declarations unlock federal assistance for the designated areas. Source: FEMA / OpenFEMA.
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Data: FEMA National Risk Index (updated ~annually). AlertAtlas is not an official warning service — always follow local authorities.